Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.885202 3.329577 3.820613 4.403650 5.077381 5.831873 6.741552
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.371070 2.972431 3.694128 4.624914 5.795143 7.219853 9.089673
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.948759 2.625496 3.498200 4.708089 6.345854 8.491503 11.526000
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.610368 2.313782 3.281106 4.711949 6.781723 9.678416 14.061078
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.304214 1.985544 2.978302 4.535213 6.926641 10.479741 16.195389
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.064943 1.708636 2.697110 4.332018 6.984398 11.146271 18.227492
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.934321 1.573766 2.604706 4.396294 7.454636 12.503972 21.557489
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.797157 1.404066 2.427324 4.288432 7.618143 13.379978 24.224600
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.742421 1.364256 2.458161 4.535836 8.422940 15.457496 29.325759
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.681148 1.302189 2.438935 4.687341 9.073889 17.353217 34.402810
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.610730 1.211598 2.353039 4.698232 9.457149 18.801305 38.849866
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.523684 1.075326 2.160134 4.469426 9.330774 19.235148 41.318176
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.489657 1.042702 2.170746 4.663904 10.120500 21.681631 48.532607
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.465382 1.026737 2.213222 4.933339 11.117230 24.730787 57.638485
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.429665 0.980502 2.184985 5.044713 11.786699 27.183380 65.856982
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.391040 0.921662 2.120281 5.063165 12.247466 29.242521 73.535854
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.343675 0.835155 1.980035 4.881745 12.203782 30.113677 78.458305
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.300790 0.752575 1.836364 4.668020 12.043188 30.670467 82.673553
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.279676 0.720371 1.808963 4.740744 12.622037 33.175474 92.523026
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.251024 0.664608 1.714966 4.626366 12.691492 34.374508 99.025083
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.243948 0.664172 1.761904 4.895007 13.843801 38.660649 115.117983
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.232375 0.649856 1.770334 5.059630 14.735046 42.380603 130.284683
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.215460 0.618167 1.727278 5.071977 15.191191 44.943745 142.454672